Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies
Baylor Scheierman
3.74
Irrational Confidence
-0.95
Confidence
willingness to put it up
+0.29
Merit
what the record warranted
The Bureau's readingIrrational Unconfidence — he deferred — though the record says he should have shot.
In context
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2025–26
A lone gunner.
Jaylen Brown
30
Derrick White
6
Anfernee Simons
6
Payton Pritchard
4
Sam Hauser
4
Neemias Queta
4
Luka Garza
4
Nikola Vučević
4
Josh Minott
4
Jordan Walsh
4
Baylor Scheierman
4
Hugo González
4
Baylor Scheierman highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2025–26 field
22th percentile · #278 of 359 · -0.4σ vs the season mean
All-time, since 1997
20thpercentile
#7,527 of 9,465
Signals on file
—
Iso possessions
—
Iso share
—
Iso PPP
3.0%
Fadeaway rate
22.8%
Pull-up rate
6
Clutch attempts
5.5
Points / game
11.9%
Usage
61.6%
True shooting