Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies
Jaylen Brown
29.92
Irrational Confidence
+2.35
Confidence
willingness to put it up
+0.09
Merit
what the record warranted
The Bureau's readingRational Confidence — he shot it himself, and the record warranted it.
In context
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2025–26
A lone gunner.
Jaylen Brown
30
Derrick White
6
Anfernee Simons
6
Payton Pritchard
4
Sam Hauser
4
Neemias Queta
4
Luka Garza
4
Nikola Vučević
4
Josh Minott
4
Jordan Walsh
4
Baylor Scheierman
4
Hugo González
4
Jaylen Brown highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2025–26 field
92th percentile · #29 of 359 · +1.4σ vs the season mean
All-time, since 1997
93rdpercentile
#664 of 9,465
Signals on file
394
Iso possessions
20.0%
Iso share
1.01
Iso PPP
10.7%
Fadeaway rate
49.3%
Pull-up rate
67
Clutch attempts
28.7
Points / game
36.2%
Usage
57.3%
True shooting