Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies
Marcus Smart
12.01
Irrational Confidence
+0.45
Confidence
willingness to put it up
-0.65
Merit
what the record warranted
The Bureau's readingIrrational Confidence — he shot it himself — past what the record warranted.
In context
UnderTaylor Jenkins (44–29)→Tuomas Iisalo (4–5)· bench changed mid-2024
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2024–25
A lone gunner.
Ja Morant
88
Marcus Smart
12
Jaren Jackson Jr.
9
Desmond Bane
5
Scotty Pippen Jr.
5
Brandon Clarke
4
Luke Kennard
4
Jay Huff
4
Jake LaRavia
4
Zach Edey
4
Jaylen Wells
4
Santi Aldama
4
Marcus Smart highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2024–25 field
83th percentile · #57 of 341 · +0.1σ vs the season mean
All-time, since 1997
84thpercentile
#1,469 of 9,465
Signals on file
19
Iso possessions
9.5%
Iso share
0.95
Iso PPP
3.5%
Fadeaway rate
24.4%
Pull-up rate
7
Clutch attempts
9.0
Points / game
20.6%
Usage
52.9%
True shooting