Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies
Ja Morant
88.11
Irrational Confidence
+1.91
Confidence
willingness to put it up
-0.99
Merit
what the record warranted
The Bureau's readingIrrational Confidence — he shot it himself — past what the record warranted.
In context
UnderTaylor Jenkins (44–29)→Tuomas Iisalo (4–5)· bench changed mid-2024
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2024–25
A lone gunner.
Ja Morant
88
Marcus Smart
12
Jaren Jackson Jr.
9
Desmond Bane
5
Scotty Pippen Jr.
5
Brandon Clarke
4
Luke Kennard
4
Jay Huff
4
Jake LaRavia
4
Zach Edey
4
Jaylen Wells
4
Santi Aldama
4
Ja Morant highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2024–25 field
99th percentile · #3 of 341 · +4.7σ vs the season mean
All-time, since 1997
99thpercentile
#50 of 9,465
Signals on file
215
Iso possessions
17.8%
Iso share
0.96
Iso PPP
5.4%
Fadeaway rate
35.1%
Pull-up rate
54
Clutch attempts
23.2
Points / game
32.2%
Usage
56.3%
True shooting