Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies
Jimmy Butler III
4.21
Irrational Confidence
+0.00
Confidence
willingness to put it up
-0.13
Merit
what the record warranted
The Bureau's readingIrrational Confidence — he shot it himself — past what the record warranted.
In context
UnderSteve Kerr (48–34)
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2024–25
A disciplined room.
Jonathan Kuminga
15
Andrew Wiggins
7
Jimmy Butler III
4
Stephen Curry
4
Brandin Podziemski
4
Gary Payton II
4
Trayce Jackson-Davis
4
Buddy Hield
4
Gui Santos
4
Draymond Green
4
Lindy Waters III
4
Quinten Post
4
Moses Moody
4
Kevon Looney
4
Jimmy Butler III highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2024–25 field
59th percentile · #146 of 355 · -0.4σ vs the season mean
All-time, since 1997
56thpercentile
#4,177 of 9,553
Signals on file
45
Iso possessions
12.4%
Iso share
1.00
Iso PPP
9.9%
Fadeaway rate
22.7%
Pull-up rate
40
Clutch attempts
17.5
Points / game
20.8%
Usage
62.6%
True shooting