Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies
Jimmy Butler III
4.82
Irrational Confidence
+0.17
Confidence
willingness to put it up
-0.12
Merit
what the record warranted
The Bureau's readingIrrational Confidence — he shot it himself — past what the record warranted.
In context
UnderSteve Kerr (48–34)
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2024–25
A lone gunner.
Dennis Schröder
44
Jonathan Kuminga
14
Andrew Wiggins
8
Jimmy Butler III
5
Kyle Anderson
5
Stephen Curry
4
Brandin Podziemski
4
Gary Payton II
4
Trayce Jackson-Davis
4
Buddy Hield
4
Gui Santos
4
Quinten Post
4
Draymond Green
4
Lindy Waters III
4
Jimmy Butler III highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2024–25 field
67th percentile · #114 of 341 · -0.3σ vs the season mean
All-time, since 1997
65thpercentile
#3,332 of 9,465
Signals on file
45
Iso possessions
12.4%
Iso share
1.00
Iso PPP
8.2%
Fadeaway rate
20.7%
Pull-up rate
41
Clutch attempts
17.5
Points / game
20.8%
Usage
62.6%
True shooting