Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies
Gui Santos
3.67
Irrational Confidence
-1.06
Confidence
willingness to put it up
-0.25
Merit
what the record warranted
The Bureau's readingRational Unconfidence — he deferred, and the record agreed he should.
In context
UnderSteve Kerr (48–34)
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2024–25
A disciplined room.
Jonathan Kuminga
15
Andrew Wiggins
7
Jimmy Butler III
4
Stephen Curry
4
Brandin Podziemski
4
Gary Payton II
4
Trayce Jackson-Davis
4
Buddy Hield
4
Gui Santos
4
Draymond Green
4
Lindy Waters III
4
Quinten Post
4
Moses Moody
4
Kevon Looney
4
Gui Santos highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2024–25 field
17th percentile · #293 of 355 · -0.4σ vs the season mean
All-time, since 1997
13thpercentile
#8,308 of 9,553
Signals on file
—
Iso possessions
—
Iso share
—
Iso PPP
1.1%
Fadeaway rate
5.3%
Pull-up rate
5
Clutch attempts
4.1
Points / game
13.2%
Usage
57.5%
True shooting