Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies
KJ Simpson
53.51
Irrational Confidence
+0.63
Confidence
willingness to put it up
-1.92
Merit
what the record warranted
The Bureau's readingIrrational Confidence — he shot it himself — past what the record warranted.
In context
UnderCharles Lee (19–63)
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2024–25
An undisciplined crew.
LaMelo Ball
91
KJ Simpson
54
Miles Bridges
46
Vasilije Micic
19
Nick Smith Jr.
12
Tidjane Salaün
7
Cody Martin
4
Seth Curry
4
DaQuan Jeffries
4
Josh Green
4
Nick Richards
4
Moussa Diabaté
4
Mark Williams
4
KJ Simpson highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2024–25 field
95th percentile · #19 of 355 · +2.6σ vs the season mean
All-time, since 1997
97thpercentile
#296 of 9,553
Signals on file
24
Iso possessions
6.3%
Iso share
0.75
Iso PPP
3.7%
Fadeaway rate
32.7%
Pull-up rate
8
Clutch attempts
7.8
Points / game
19.1%
Usage
43.7%
True shooting