Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies
Nick Smith Jr.
12.45
Irrational Confidence
+0.60
Confidence
willingness to put it up
-0.46
Merit
what the record warranted
The Bureau's readingIrrational Confidence — he shot it himself — past what the record warranted.
In context
UnderCharles Lee (19–63)
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2024–25
An undisciplined crew.
LaMelo Ball
91
KJ Simpson
54
Miles Bridges
46
Vasilije Micic
19
Nick Smith Jr.
12
Tidjane Salaün
7
Cody Martin
4
Seth Curry
4
DaQuan Jeffries
4
Josh Green
4
Nick Richards
4
Moussa Diabaté
4
Mark Williams
4
Nick Smith Jr. highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2024–25 field
83th percentile · #59 of 355 · +0.1σ vs the season mean
All-time, since 1997
85thpercentile
#1,416 of 9,553
Signals on file
43
Iso possessions
6.4%
Iso share
1.19
Iso PPP
7.6%
Fadeaway rate
31.5%
Pull-up rate
15
Clutch attempts
9.8
Points / game
20.8%
Usage
50.2%
True shooting