Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies
Nick Smith Jr.
11.94
Irrational Confidence
+0.58
Confidence
willingness to put it up
-0.45
Merit
what the record warranted
The Bureau's readingIrrational Confidence — he shot it himself — past what the record warranted.
In context
UnderCharles Lee (19–63)
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2024–25
An undisciplined crew.
LaMelo Ball
90
KJ Simpson
51
Vasilije Micic
51
Miles Bridges
45
Nick Smith Jr.
12
Jusuf Nurkić
8
Tidjane Salaün
7
Josh Okogie
6
Cody Martin
4
Seth Curry
4
DaQuan Jeffries
4
Josh Green
4
Nick Richards
4
Moussa Diabaté
4
Nick Smith Jr. highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2024–25 field
83th percentile · #58 of 341 · +0.1σ vs the season mean
All-time, since 1997
84thpercentile
#1,481 of 9,465
Signals on file
43
Iso possessions
6.4%
Iso share
1.19
Iso PPP
5.1%
Fadeaway rate
31.0%
Pull-up rate
15
Clutch attempts
9.8
Points / game
20.8%
Usage
50.2%
True shooting