Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies
Daniel Gafford
4.00
Irrational Confidence
-0.51
Confidence
willingness to put it up
+3.07
Merit
what the record warranted
The Bureau's readingIrrational Unconfidence — he deferred — though the record says he should have shot.
In context
UnderJason Kidd (39–43)
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2024–25
A lone gunner.
Spencer Dinwiddie
34
Jaden Hardy
17
P.J. Washington
7
Anthony Davis
7
Quentin Grimes
7
Luka Dončić
5
Caleb Martin
5
Naji Marshall
5
Kyrie Irving
4
Dereck Lively II
4
Daniel Gafford
4
Klay Thompson
4
Kessler Edwards
4
Max Christie
4
Daniel Gafford highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2024–25 field
51th percentile · #161 of 341 · -0.4σ vs the season mean
All-time, since 1997
51stpercentile
#4,638 of 9,465
Signals on file
—
Iso possessions
—
Iso share
—
Iso PPP
0.7%
Fadeaway rate
3.4%
Pull-up rate
13
Clutch attempts
12.3
Points / game
19.5%
Usage
71.6%
True shooting