Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies
Luka Dončić
4.72
Irrational Confidence
+2.31
Confidence
willingness to put it up
+1.20
Merit
what the record warranted
The Bureau's readingRational Confidence — he shot it himself, and the record warranted it.
In context
UnderJJ Redick (50–32)
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2024–25
A disciplined room.
D'Angelo Russell
7
Anthony Davis
7
LeBron James
5
Shake Milton
5
Luka Dončić
5
Austin Reaves
4
Jaxson Hayes
4
Rui Hachimura
4
Gabe Vincent
4
Dorian Finney-Smith
4
Max Christie
4
Dalton Knecht
4
Luka Dončić highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2024–25 field
65th percentile · #121 of 341 · -0.3σ vs the season mean
All-time, since 1997
64thpercentile
#3,423 of 9,465
Signals on file
89
Iso possessions
14.8%
Iso share
1.06
Iso PPP
11.2%
Fadeaway rate
51.7%
Pull-up rate
43
Clutch attempts
28.2
Points / game
33.9%
Usage
58.7%
True shooting