Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies
Aaron Nesmith
3.59
Irrational Confidence
-0.76
Confidence
willingness to put it up
-0.00
Merit
what the record warranted
The Bureau's readingRational Unconfidence — he deferred, and the record agreed he should.
In context
UnderBrad Stevens (36–36)
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2020–21
A lone gunner.
Kemba Walker
24
Jayson Tatum
16
Marcus Smart
12
Jaylen Brown
8
Jeff Teague
6
Moses Brown
5
Tristan Thompson
4
Robert Williams III
4
Daniel Theis
4
Payton Pritchard
4
Semi Ojeleye
4
Grant Williams
4
Aaron Nesmith
4
Aaron Nesmith highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2020–21 field
4th percentile · #317 of 338 · -0.4σ vs the season mean
All-time, since 1997
5thpercentile
#9,087 of 9,553
Signals on file
—
Iso possessions
—
Iso share
—
Iso PPP
2.2%
Fadeaway rate
7.7%
Pull-up rate
3
Clutch attempts
4.7
Points / game
13.7%
Usage
57.3%
True shooting