Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies
Aaron Nesmith
3.59
Irrational Confidence
-0.76
Confidence
willingness to put it up
+0.01
Merit
what the record warranted
The Bureau's readingIrrational Unconfidence — he deferred — though the record says he should have shot.
In context
UnderBrad Stevens (36–36)
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2020–21
A lone gunner.
Kemba Walker
23
Jeff Teague
20
Jayson Tatum
15
Marcus Smart
11
Jaylen Brown
7
Evan Fournier
5
Robert Williams III
4
Tristan Thompson
4
Daniel Theis
4
Payton Pritchard
4
Semi Ojeleye
4
Grant Williams
4
Moritz Wagner
4
Aaron Nesmith
4
Aaron Nesmith highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2020–21 field
4th percentile · #311 of 332 · -0.4σ vs the season mean
All-time, since 1997
5thpercentile
#9,001 of 9,465
Signals on file
—
Iso possessions
—
Iso share
—
Iso PPP
1.7%
Fadeaway rate
7.6%
Pull-up rate
3
Clutch attempts
4.7
Points / game
13.7%
Usage
57.3%
True shooting