Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies
Jayson Tatum
14.97
Irrational Confidence
+1.59
Confidence
willingness to put it up
+0.12
Merit
what the record warranted
The Bureau's readingRational Confidence — he shot it himself, and the record warranted it.
In context
UnderBrad Stevens (36–36)
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2020–21
A lone gunner.
Kemba Walker
23
Jeff Teague
20
Jayson Tatum
15
Marcus Smart
11
Jaylen Brown
7
Evan Fournier
5
Robert Williams III
4
Tristan Thompson
4
Daniel Theis
4
Payton Pritchard
4
Semi Ojeleye
4
Grant Williams
4
Moritz Wagner
4
Aaron Nesmith
4
Jayson Tatum highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2020–21 field
84th percentile · #53 of 332 · +0.4σ vs the season mean
All-time, since 1997
87thpercentile
#1,229 of 9,465
Signals on file
303
Iso possessions
18.6%
Iso share
0.82
Iso PPP
11.5%
Fadeaway rate
35.5%
Pull-up rate
80
Clutch attempts
26.4
Points / game
30.8%
Usage
57.6%
True shooting