Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies
Jayson Tatum
15.64
Irrational Confidence
+1.59
Confidence
willingness to put it up
+0.10
Merit
what the record warranted
The Bureau's readingRational Confidence — he shot it himself, and the record warranted it.
In context
UnderBrad Stevens (36–36)
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2020–21
A lone gunner.
Kemba Walker
24
Jayson Tatum
16
Marcus Smart
12
Jaylen Brown
8
Jeff Teague
6
Moses Brown
5
Tristan Thompson
4
Robert Williams III
4
Daniel Theis
4
Payton Pritchard
4
Semi Ojeleye
4
Grant Williams
4
Aaron Nesmith
4
Jayson Tatum highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2020–21 field
86th percentile · #49 of 338 · +0.4σ vs the season mean
All-time, since 1997
88thpercentile
#1,154 of 9,553
Signals on file
303
Iso possessions
18.6%
Iso share
0.82
Iso PPP
13.7%
Fadeaway rate
38.2%
Pull-up rate
84
Clutch attempts
26.4
Points / game
30.8%
Usage
57.6%
True shooting