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Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies

Darrell Armstrong

2004–05 · DAL · a single decision on file

7.76
Irrational Confidence
+0.09
Confidence
willingness to put it up
-0.89
Merit
what the record warranted

The Bureau's readingIrrational Confidence — he shot it himself — past what the record warranted.

In context
UnderDon Nelson (42–22)→Avery Johnson (16–2)· bench changed mid-2004
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2004–05
A pair of gunners.
Darrell Armstrong highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2004–05 field

77th percentile · #72 of 313 · -0.1σ vs the season mean

All-time, since 1997
78thpercentile

#2,122 of 9,465

Signals on file
—
Iso possessions
—
Iso share
—
Iso PPP
0.4%
Fadeaway rate
—
Pull-up rate
19
Clutch attempts
4.0
Points / game
17.3%
Usage
43.0%
True shooting