Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies
Dan Dickau
14.08
Irrational Confidence
+0.45
Confidence
willingness to put it up
-0.78
Merit
what the record warranted
The Bureau's readingIrrational Confidence — he shot it himself — past what the record warranted.
In context
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2004–05
A lone gunner.
JR Smith
20
Dan Dickau
14
Rodney Rogers
10
Speedy Claxton
9
Jackson Vroman
7
Bostjan Nachbar
5
David Wesley
4
Lee Nailon
4
Casey Jacobsen
4
George Lynch
4
P.J. Brown
4
Chris Andersen
4
Dan Dickau highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2004–05 field
89th percentile · #35 of 333 · +0.5σ vs the season mean
All-time, since 1997
87thpercentile
#1,262 of 9,553
Signals on file
—
Iso possessions
Synergy play-type data unavailable prior to 2014–15 — the metric falls back to a usage-based estimate.
—
Iso share
Synergy play-type data unavailable prior to 2014–15 — the metric falls back to a usage-based estimate.
—
Iso PPP
Synergy play-type data unavailable prior to 2014–15 — the metric falls back to a usage-based estimate.
0.9%
Fadeaway rate
—
Pull-up rate
Pull-up shot-type tracking begins in 2007–08 — not on record for this season.
62
Clutch attempts
12.5
Points / game
22.3%
Usage
51.8%
True shooting