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Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies

Jerome Williams

2003–04 · CHI · a single decision on file

3.65
Irrational Confidence
-0.96
Confidence
willingness to put it up
-0.54
Merit
what the record warranted

The Bureau's readingRational Unconfidence — he deferred, and the record agreed he should.

In context
UnderBill Cartwright (4–10)→Pete Myers (0–2)→Scott Skiles (19–47)· bench changed mid-2003
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2003–04
A pair of gunners.
Jerome Williams highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2003–04 field

7th percentile · #274 of 297 · -0.4σ vs the season mean

All-time, since 1997
11thpercentile

#8,418 of 9,465

Signals on file
—
Iso possessions
—
Iso share
—
Iso PPP
0.3%
Fadeaway rate
—
Pull-up rate
10
Clutch attempts
6.2
Points / game
13.3%
Usage
52.2%
True shooting