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Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies

Marcus Fizer

2003–04 · CHI · a single decision on file

46.28
Irrational Confidence
+0.90
Confidence
willingness to put it up
-1.12
Merit
what the record warranted

The Bureau's readingIrrational Confidence — he shot it himself — past what the record warranted.

In context
UnderBill Cartwright (4–10)→Pete Myers (0–2)→Scott Skiles (19–47)· bench changed mid-2003
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2003–04
A pair of gunners.
Marcus Fizer highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2003–04 field

95th percentile · #14 of 297 · +2.8σ vs the season mean

All-time, since 1997
96thpercentile

#401 of 9,465

Signals on file
—
Iso possessions
—
Iso share
—
Iso PPP
0.6%
Fadeaway rate
—
Pull-up rate
3
Clutch attempts
7.8
Points / game
27.5%
Usage
44.7%
True shooting