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Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies

Jiri Welsch

2003–04 · BOS · a single decision on file

4.37
Irrational Confidence
-0.09
Confidence
willingness to put it up
-0.37
Merit
what the record warranted

The Bureau's readingRational Unconfidence — he deferred, and the record agreed he should.

In context
UnderJim O'Brien (22–24)→John Carroll (14–22)· bench changed mid-2003
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2003–04
A pair of gunners.
Jiri Welsch highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2003–04 field

61th percentile · #116 of 297 · -0.3σ vs the season mean

All-time, since 1997
60thpercentile

#3,824 of 9,465

Signals on file
—
Iso possessions
—
Iso share
—
Iso PPP
0.2%
Fadeaway rate
—
Pull-up rate
22
Clutch attempts
9.2
Points / game
17.4%
Usage
53.1%
True shooting