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Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies

Eric Williams

2003–04 · CLE · a single decision on file

13.07
Irrational Confidence
+0.15
Confidence
willingness to put it up
-1.39
Merit
what the record warranted

The Bureau's readingIrrational Confidence — he shot it himself — past what the record warranted.

In context
UnderPaul Silas (35–47)
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2003–04
A pair of gunners.
Eric Williams highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2003–04 field

88th percentile · #37 of 297 · +0.3σ vs the season mean

All-time, since 1997
86thpercentile

#1,369 of 9,465

Signals on file
—
Iso possessions
—
Iso share
—
Iso PPP
2.5%
Fadeaway rate
—
Pull-up rate
32
Clutch attempts
10.0
Points / game
19.3%
Usage
49.3%
True shooting