Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies
Deni Avdija
59.09
Irrational Confidence
+1.23
Confidence
willingness to put it up
-0.93
Merit
what the record warranted
The Bureau's readingIrrational Confidence — he shot it himself — past what the record warranted.
In context
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2025–26
An undisciplined crew.
Shaedon Sharpe
69
Deni Avdija
59
Scoot Henderson
59
Caleb Love
22
Jerami Grant
11
Jrue Holiday
6
Rayan Rupert
6
Robert Williams III
4
Vít Krejčí
4
Kris Murray
4
Donovan Clingan
4
Sidy Cissoko
4
Toumani Camara
4
Deni Avdija highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2025–26 field
97th percentile · #11 of 359 · +3.5σ vs the season mean
All-time, since 1997
97thpercentile
#259 of 9,465
Signals on file
181
Iso possessions
12.1%
Iso share
0.89
Iso PPP
2.7%
Fadeaway rate
32.7%
Pull-up rate
62
Clutch attempts
24.2
Points / game
29.3%
Usage
60.0%
True shooting