Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies
LaMelo Ball
64.85
Irrational Confidence
+1.83
Confidence
willingness to put it up
-0.52
Merit
what the record warranted
The Bureau's readingIrrational Confidence — he shot it himself — past what the record warranted.
In context
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2025–26
A pair of gunners.
LaMelo Ball
65
Tre Mann
50
Coby White
16
Miles Bridges
12
Brandon Miller
9
Collin Sexton
6
Ryan Kalkbrenner
4
Kon Knueppel
4
Josh Green
4
Sion James
4
Grant Williams
4
Moussa Diabaté
4
LaMelo Ball highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2025–26 field
98th percentile · #7 of 359 · +3.9σ vs the season mean
All-time, since 1997
98thpercentile
#215 of 9,465
Signals on file
157
Iso possessions
10.8%
Iso share
0.96
Iso PPP
3.3%
Fadeaway rate
42.0%
Pull-up rate
35
Clutch attempts
20.1
Points / game
32.0%
Usage
54.6%
True shooting