Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies
Andrew Nembhard
12.11
Irrational Confidence
+1.08
Confidence
willingness to put it up
-0.03
Merit
what the record warranted
The Bureau's readingIrrational Confidence — he shot it himself — past what the record warranted.
In context
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2025–26
A lone gunner.
Bennedict Mathurin
51
Andrew Nembhard
12
Pascal Siakam
6
Kam Jones
5
Quenton Jackson
5
Jarace Walker
5
T.J. McConnell
4
Ivica Zubac
4
Jay Huff
4
Micah Potter
4
Isaiah Jackson
4
Ben Sheppard
4
Kobe Brown
4
Johnny Furphy
4
Andrew Nembhard highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2025–26 field
85th percentile · #54 of 359 · +0.2σ vs the season mean
All-time, since 1997
85thpercentile
#1,456 of 9,465
Signals on file
77
Iso possessions
8.1%
Iso share
0.82
Iso PPP
8.2%
Fadeaway rate
55.4%
Pull-up rate
32
Clutch attempts
16.9
Points / game
23.6%
Usage
56.4%
True shooting