Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies
Damian Lillard
24.04
Irrational Confidence
+1.61
Confidence
willingness to put it up
-0.08
Merit
what the record warranted
The Bureau's readingIrrational Confidence — he shot it himself — past what the record warranted.
In context
UnderDoc Rivers (48–34)
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2024–25
A pair of gunners.
Kevin Porter Jr.
56
Damian Lillard
24
Kyle Kuzma
13
Giannis Antetokounmpo
4
Bobby Portis Jr.
4
Khris Middleton
4
AJ Green
4
Ryan Rollins
4
Taurean Prince
4
Brook Lopez
4
Delon Wright
4
Gary Trent Jr.
4
Andre Jackson Jr.
4
Pat Connaughton
4
Damian Lillard highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2024–25 field
89th percentile · #38 of 341 · +0.8σ vs the season mean
All-time, since 1997
91stpercentile
#826 of 9,465
Signals on file
202
Iso possessions
15.4%
Iso share
0.99
Iso PPP
3.0%
Fadeaway rate
57.2%
Pull-up rate
53
Clutch attempts
24.9
Points / game
27.8%
Usage
62.1%
True shooting