Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies
Keon Ellis
3.98
Irrational Confidence
-0.82
Confidence
willingness to put it up
+1.82
Merit
what the record warranted
The Bureau's readingIrrational Unconfidence — he deferred — though the record says he should have shot.
In context
UnderMike Brown (13–18)→Doug Christie (27–24)· bench changed mid-2024
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2024–25
A disciplined room.
Malik Monk
17
De'Aaron Fox
8
Orlando Robinson
7
DeMar DeRozan
5
Zach LaVine
4
Keon Ellis
4
Jonas Valanciunas
4
Domantas Sabonis
4
Jake LaRavia
4
Keegan Murray
4
Kevin Huerter
4
Trey Lyles
4
Keon Ellis highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2024–25 field
48th percentile · #171 of 341 · -0.4σ vs the season mean
All-time, since 1997
47thpercentile
#4,990 of 9,465
Signals on file
11
Iso possessions
1.9%
Iso share
0.73
Iso PPP
1.3%
Fadeaway rate
18.1%
Pull-up rate
12
Clutch attempts
8.3
Points / game
12.7%
Usage
66.4%
True shooting