Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies
Jose Alvarado
18.42
Irrational Confidence
+0.47
Confidence
willingness to put it up
-0.97
Merit
what the record warranted
The Bureau's readingIrrational Confidence — he shot it himself — past what the record warranted.
In context
UnderWillie Green (21–61)
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2024–25
A pair of gunners.
Dejounte Murray
56
Zion Williamson
33
Jose Alvarado
18
Brandon Boston
13
Jordan Hawkins
11
CJ McCollum
6
Bruce Brown
4
Yves Missi
4
Trey Murphy III
4
Karlo Matković
4
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl
4
Kelly Olynyk
4
Daniel Theis
4
Javonte Green
4
Jose Alvarado highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2024–25 field
88th percentile · #42 of 341 · +0.5σ vs the season mean
All-time, since 1997
89thpercentile
#1,033 of 9,465
Signals on file
37
Iso possessions
5.8%
Iso share
1.22
Iso PPP
0.4%
Fadeaway rate
28.5%
Pull-up rate
13
Clutch attempts
10.3
Points / game
19.8%
Usage
52.3%
True shooting