Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies
Jared Butler
26.12
Irrational Confidence
+0.98
Confidence
willingness to put it up
-0.52
Merit
what the record warranted
The Bureau's readingIrrational Confidence — he shot it himself — past what the record warranted.
In context
UnderNick Nurse (24–58)
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2024–25
An undisciplined crew.
Tyrese Maxey
58
Jared Butler
26
Ricky Council IV
21
Kelly Oubre Jr.
8
Quentin Grimes
7
Jeff Dowtin Jr.
6
Andre Drummond
6
Paul George
5
Caleb Martin
5
Adem Bona
4
KJ Martin
4
Guerschon Yabusele
4
Justin Edwards
4
Eric Gordon
4
Jared Butler highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2024–25 field
90th percentile · #35 of 341 · +0.9σ vs the season mean
All-time, since 1997
92ndpercentile
#760 of 9,465
Signals on file
20
Iso possessions
9.2%
Iso share
0.95
Iso PPP
1.5%
Fadeaway rate
28.9%
Pull-up rate
3
Clutch attempts
9.0
Points / game
23.6%
Usage
54.9%
True shooting