Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies
Duncan Robinson
3.67
Irrational Confidence
-0.22
Confidence
willingness to put it up
+0.59
Merit
what the record warranted
The Bureau's readingIrrational Unconfidence — he deferred — though the record says he should have shot.
In context
UnderErik Spoelstra (46–36)
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2023–24
A lone gunner.
Terry Rozier
22
Jimmy Butler III
9
Tyler Herro
7
Caleb Martin
5
Bam Adebayo
5
Kevin Love
4
Jaime Jaquez Jr.
4
Josh Richardson
4
Duncan Robinson
4
Haywood Highsmith
4
Nikola Jović
4
Kyle Lowry
4
Duncan Robinson highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2023–24 field
11th percentile · #305 of 349 · -0.4σ vs the season mean
All-time, since 1997
13thpercentile
#8,308 of 9,553
Signals on file
—
Iso possessions
—
Iso share
—
Iso PPP
0.9%
Fadeaway rate
26.7%
Pull-up rate
22
Clutch attempts
12.9
Points / game
19.0%
Usage
61.2%
True shooting