Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies
Luka Dončić
4.88
Irrational Confidence
+2.70
Confidence
willingness to put it up
+1.21
Merit
what the record warranted
The Bureau's readingRational Confidence — he shot it himself, and the record warranted it.
In context
UnderJason Kidd (50–32)
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2023–24
A lone gunner.
Jaden Hardy
23
Tim Hardaway Jr.
7
Luka Dončić
5
Kyrie Irving
4
P.J. Washington
4
Dwight Powell
4
Dereck Lively II
4
Daniel Gafford
4
Seth Curry
4
Josh Green
4
Maxi Kleber
4
Derrick Jones Jr.
4
Dante Exum
4
Grant Williams
4
Luka Dončić highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2023–24 field
68th percentile · #104 of 333 · -0.3σ vs the season mean
All-time, since 1997
65thpercentile
#3,273 of 9,465
Signals on file
511
Iso possessions
23.3%
Iso share
1.09
Iso PPP
11.0%
Fadeaway rate
53.7%
Pull-up rate
46
Clutch attempts
33.9
Points / game
36.0%
Usage
61.7%
True shooting