Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies
Jayson Tatum
16.17
Irrational Confidence
+1.64
Confidence
willingness to put it up
+0.11
Merit
what the record warranted
The Bureau's readingRational Confidence — he shot it himself, and the record warranted it.
In context
UnderIme Udoka (51–31)
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2021–22
A lone gunner.
Dennis Schröder
31
Jayson Tatum
16
Derrick White
8
Marcus Smart
7
Jaylen Brown
7
Josh Richardson
4
Robert Williams III
4
Daniel Theis
4
Payton Pritchard
4
Grant Williams
4
Romeo Langford
4
Al Horford
4
Jayson Tatum highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2021–22 field
85th percentile · #52 of 353 · +0.4σ vs the season mean
All-time, since 1997
88thpercentile
#1,142 of 9,465
Signals on file
356
Iso possessions
18.1%
Iso share
0.91
Iso PPP
8.1%
Fadeaway rate
38.4%
Pull-up rate
78
Clutch attempts
26.9
Points / game
32.1%
Usage
57.8%
True shooting