Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies
Doug McDermott
3.64
Irrational Confidence
-0.54
Confidence
willingness to put it up
+0.41
Merit
what the record warranted
The Bureau's readingIrrational Unconfidence — he deferred — though the record says he should have shot.
In context
UnderFred Hoiberg (41–41)
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2016–17
An undisciplined crew.
Dwyane Wade
41
Michael Carter-Williams
29
Jimmy Butler III
23
Rajon Rondo
11
Jerian Grant
8
Nikola Mirotic
4
Cristiano Felicio
4
Joffrey Lauvergne
4
Bobby Portis Jr.
4
Denzel Valentine
4
Anthony Morrow
4
Taj Gibson
4
Robin Lopez
4
Doug McDermott
4
Doug McDermott highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2016–17 field
8th percentile · #299 of 330 · -0.4σ vs the season mean
All-time, since 1997
10thpercentile
#8,525 of 9,465
Signals on file
—
Iso possessions
—
Iso share
—
Iso PPP
3.4%
Fadeaway rate
9.9%
Pull-up rate
18
Clutch attempts
9.0
Points / game
16.4%
Usage
55.4%
True shooting