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Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies

Phil Pressey

2014–15 · BOS · a single decision on file

38.50
Irrational Confidence
+0.44
Confidence
willingness to put it up
-1.94
Merit
what the record warranted

The Bureau's readingIrrational Confidence — he shot it himself — past what the record warranted.

In context
UnderBrad Stevens (40–42)
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2014–15
An undisciplined crew.
Phil Pressey highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2014–15 field

94th percentile · #19 of 342 · +1.8σ vs the season mean

All-time, since 1997
95thpercentile

#505 of 9,465

Signals on file
30
Iso possessions
12.6%
Iso share
1.17
Iso PPP
0.6%
Fadeaway rate
2.6%
Pull-up rate
1
Clutch attempts
3.5
Points / game
17.3%
Usage
45.3%
True shooting