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Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies

Will Barton

2014–15 · DEN · a single decision on file

12.82
Irrational Confidence
+0.20
Confidence
willingness to put it up
-1.22
Merit
what the record warranted

The Bureau's readingIrrational Confidence — he shot it himself — past what the record warranted.

In context
UnderBrian Shaw (20–39)→Melvin Hunt (10–13)· bench changed mid-2014
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2014–15
A disciplined room.
Will Barton highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2014–15 field

85th percentile · #53 of 342 · +0.2σ vs the season mean

All-time, since 1997
85thpercentile

#1,394 of 9,465

Signals on file
37
Iso possessions
11.2%
Iso share
1.08
Iso PPP
2.3%
Fadeaway rate
8.8%
Pull-up rate
7
Clutch attempts
6.8
Points / game
20.2%
Usage
50.3%
True shooting