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Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies

Jeremy Lin

2011–12 · NYK · a single decision on file

82.54
Irrational Confidence
+1.48
Confidence
willingness to put it up
-1.25
Merit
what the record warranted

The Bureau's readingIrrational Confidence — he shot it himself — past what the record warranted.

In context
UnderMike D'Antoni (18–24)Mike Woodson (18–6)· bench changed mid-2011
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2011–12
An undisciplined crew.
Jeremy Lin highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2011–12 field

98th percentile · #5 of 306 · +4.8σ vs the season mean

All-time, since 1997
99thpercentile

#79 of 9,553

Signals on file
Iso possessions
Iso share
Iso PPP
4.7%
Fadeaway rate
5.0%
Pull-up rate
25
Clutch attempts
14.6
Points / game
28.1%
Usage
55.2%
True shooting