Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies
Kevin Durant
4.06
Irrational Confidence
+1.59
Confidence
willingness to put it up
+1.74
Merit
what the record warranted
The Bureau's readingRational Confidence — he shot it himself, and the record warranted it.
In context
UnderScott Brooks (47–19)
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2011–12
A lone gunner.
Russell Westbrook
94
James Harden
4
Kevin Durant
4
Nick Collison
4
Derek Fisher
4
Serge Ibaka
4
Kendrick Perkins
4
Thabo Sefolosha
4
Daequan Cook
4
Nazr Mohammed
4
Kevin Durant highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2011–12 field
53th percentile · #139 of 297 · -0.4σ vs the season mean
All-time, since 1997
53rdpercentile
#4,414 of 9,465
Signals on file
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Iso possessions
Synergy play-type data unavailable prior to 2014–15 — the metric falls back to a usage-based estimate.
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Iso share
Synergy play-type data unavailable prior to 2014–15 — the metric falls back to a usage-based estimate.
—
Iso PPP
Synergy play-type data unavailable prior to 2014–15 — the metric falls back to a usage-based estimate.
5.1%
Fadeaway rate
8.4%
Pull-up rate
120
Clutch attempts
28.0
Points / game
31.3%
Usage
61.0%
True shooting