Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies
Earl Watson
19.12
Irrational Confidence
+0.38
Confidence
willingness to put it up
-1.22
Merit
what the record warranted
The Bureau's readingIrrational Confidence — he shot it himself — past what the record warranted.
In context
UnderP.J. Carlesimo (1–12)→Scott Brooks (22–47)· bench changed mid-2008
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2008–09
A lone gunner.
Russell Westbrook
95
Earl Watson
19
Jeff Green
9
Kevin Durant
8
Damien Wilkins
6
Desmond Mason
5
Nick Collison
4
Thabo Sefolosha
4
Chris Wilcox
4
Nenad Krstic
4
Kyle Weaver
4
Joe Smith
4
Earl Watson highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2008–09 field
90th percentile · #31 of 315 · +0.7σ vs the season mean
All-time, since 1997
89thpercentile
#1,007 of 9,465
Signals on file
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Iso possessions
Synergy play-type data unavailable prior to 2014–15 — the metric falls back to a usage-based estimate.
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Iso share
Synergy play-type data unavailable prior to 2014–15 — the metric falls back to a usage-based estimate.
—
Iso PPP
Synergy play-type data unavailable prior to 2014–15 — the metric falls back to a usage-based estimate.
1.1%
Fadeaway rate
3.3%
Pull-up rate
13
Clutch attempts
6.6
Points / game
16.3%
Usage
44.8%
True shooting