Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies
Hilton Armstrong
3.66
Irrational Confidence
-0.46
Confidence
willingness to put it up
+0.51
Merit
what the record warranted
The Bureau's readingIrrational Unconfidence — he deferred — though the record says he should have shot.
In context
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2008–09
A lone gunner.
Devin Brown
37
Antonio Daniels
8
David West
5
Chris Paul
5
Tyson Chandler
4
Sean Marks
4
Julian Wright
4
Peja Stojakovic
4
Hilton Armstrong
4
Rasual Butler
4
James Posey
4
Hilton Armstrong highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2008–09 field
10th percentile · #280 of 315 · -0.4σ vs the season mean
All-time, since 1997
12thpercentile
#8,310 of 9,465
Signals on file
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Iso possessions
Synergy play-type data unavailable prior to 2014–15 — the metric falls back to a usage-based estimate.
—
Iso share
Synergy play-type data unavailable prior to 2014–15 — the metric falls back to a usage-based estimate.
—
Iso PPP
Synergy play-type data unavailable prior to 2014–15 — the metric falls back to a usage-based estimate.
0.8%
Fadeaway rate
0.0%
Pull-up rate
2
Clutch attempts
4.8
Points / game
16.3%
Usage
58.5%
True shooting