Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies

Matt Carroll

2007–08 · CHA · a single decision on file

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3.64

Irrational Confidence

-0.65

Confidence

willingness to put it up

+0.31

Merit

what the record warranted

The Bureau's readingIrrational Unconfidence — he deferred — though the record says he should have shot.

In context

The roster, by irrational confidence · 2007–08

A lone gunner.

Matt Carroll

Matt Carroll highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)

Among the 2007–08 field

7th percentile · #280 of 301 · -0.4σ vs the season mean

All-time, since 1997

10thpercentile

#8,525 of 9,465

Signals on file

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Iso possessions

Synergy play-type data unavailable prior to 2014–15 — the metric falls back to a usage-based estimate.

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Iso share

Synergy play-type data unavailable prior to 2014–15 — the metric falls back to a usage-based estimate.

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Iso PPP

Synergy play-type data unavailable prior to 2014–15 — the metric falls back to a usage-based estimate.

0.2%

Fadeaway rate

0.2%

Pull-up rate

Clutch attempts

9.0

Points / game

16.1%

Usage

55.4%

True shooting