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Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies

Francisco Elson

2004–05 · DEN · a single decision on file

3.74
Irrational Confidence
-0.99
Confidence
willingness to put it up
+0.24
Merit
what the record warranted

The Bureau's readingIrrational Unconfidence — he deferred — though the record says he should have shot.

In context
UnderJeff Bzdelik (13–15)→Michael Cooper (4–10)→George Karl (32–8)· bench changed mid-2004
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2004–05
A lone gunner.
Francisco Elson highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2004–05 field

16th percentile · #259 of 313 · -0.4σ vs the season mean

All-time, since 1997
20thpercentile

#7,527 of 9,465

Signals on file
—
Iso possessions
—
Iso share
—
Iso PPP
0.5%
Fadeaway rate
—
Pull-up rate
2
Clutch attempts
3.7
Points / game
13.8%
Usage
49.4%
True shooting