Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies
Earl Watson
13.73
Irrational Confidence
+0.32
Confidence
willingness to put it up
-1.02
Merit
what the record warranted
The Bureau's readingIrrational Confidence — he shot it himself — past what the record warranted.
In context
UnderHubie Brown (50–32)
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2003–04
A disciplined room.
Earl Watson
14
Jason Williams
11
Bonzi Wells
9
Stromile Swift
6
Pau Gasol
4
Lorenzen Wright
4
Wesley Person
4
Bo Outlaw
4
Shane Battier
4
Mike Miller
4
James Posey
4
Earl Watson highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2003–04 field
89th percentile · #34 of 297 · +0.4σ vs the season mean
All-time, since 1997
86thpercentile
#1,311 of 9,465
Signals on file
—
Iso possessions
Synergy play-type data unavailable prior to 2014–15 — the metric falls back to a usage-based estimate.
—
Iso share
Synergy play-type data unavailable prior to 2014–15 — the metric falls back to a usage-based estimate.
—
Iso PPP
Synergy play-type data unavailable prior to 2014–15 — the metric falls back to a usage-based estimate.
0.9%
Fadeaway rate
—
Pull-up rate
Pull-up shot-type tracking begins in 2007–08 — not on record for this season.
13
Clutch attempts
5.7
Points / game
18.1%
Usage
43.8%
True shooting