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Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies

Tom Gugliotta

2001–02 · PHX · a single decision on file

3.55
Irrational Confidence
-0.56
Confidence
willingness to put it up
-0.15
Merit
what the record warranted

The Bureau's readingRational Unconfidence — he deferred, and the record agreed he should.

In context
UnderScott Skiles (25–26)→Frank Johnson (11–20)· bench changed mid-2001
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2001–02
A pair of gunners.
Tom Gugliotta highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2001–02 field

1th percentile · #287 of 296 · -0.4σ vs the season mean

All-time, since 1997
1stpercentile

#9,345 of 9,465

Signals on file
—
Iso possessions
—
Iso share
—
Iso PPP
1.0%
Fadeaway rate
—
Pull-up rate
15
Clutch attempts
6.5
Points / game
15.0%
Usage
44.9%
True shooting