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Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies

Sean Elliott

1996–97 · SAS · a single decision on file

4.86
Irrational Confidence
+0.10
Confidence
willingness to put it up
-0.24
Merit
what the record warranted

The Bureau's readingIrrational Confidence — he shot it himself — past what the record warranted.

In context
UnderBob Hill (3–15)→Gregg Popovich (17–47)· bench changed mid-1996
The roster, by irrational confidence · 1996–97
A pair of gunners.
Sean Elliott highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 1996–97 field

66th percentile · #95 of 281 · -0.3σ vs the season mean

All-time, since 1997
65thpercentile

#3,290 of 9,465

Signals on file
—
Iso possessions
—
Iso share
—
Iso PPP
—
Fadeaway rate
—
Pull-up rate
16
Clutch attempts
14.9
Points / game
21.3%
Usage
52.9%
True shooting