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HWRI · Card RoomOct 16, 2026

HWRI · Bureau of Decision Studies · Shot-selection finding

Allen Iverson

2002–03 regular season · PHI

Chart: Allen Iverson, 2002–03. Each dot is a qualified player that season, placed by how much more he shoots than his efficiency earns (across) and how much farther out he shoots on a make streak (up). Allen Iverson sits at the 99th and 95th percentiles. Finding: Gets hot and keeps gunning.

Finding: Gets hot and keeps gunning

Shoots more than his efficiency earns99th percentileIrrational Confidence 92.0 · of 202 players
Fires from deeper when hot95th percentileHeat Check 82 · of 202 players
Points per game27.6true shooting 50.0% · league 52.5%
Threes taken on a make streak138made 27.5% · 27.9% otherwise

How to read it

Both axes are percentiles within the season, among players with at least 30 games and 1,000 minutes (prorated for shortened seasons). Across: how much more he shoots than his efficiency earns (HWRI's Irrational Confidence); high only counts with real volume (12+ shots a game). Up: how much farther out he shoots while on a 2+ make streak, against that season's average jumper (HWRI's Heat Check); it measures shot distance, not whether the shots fall. The hatched box is the corner the finding comes from.

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