Hardwoodist Research InstituteBureau of Decision Studies
John Collins
3.73
Irrational Confidence
-0.56
Confidence
willingness to put it up
+0.63
Merit
what the record warranted
The Bureau's readingIrrational Unconfidence — he deferred — though the record says he should have shot.
In context
UnderNate McMillan (29–30)→Joe Prunty (2–0)→Quin Snyder (10–11)· bench changed mid-2022
The roster, by irrational confidence · 2022–23
A pair of gunners.
Trae Young
68
Dejounte Murray
24
Saddiq Bey
9
Aaron Holiday
7
De'Andre Hunter
5
Onyeka Okongwu
4
Bogdan Bogdanović
4
AJ Griffin
4
John Collins
4
Garrison Mathews
4
Clint Capela
4
Jalen Johnson
4
John Collins highlighted · bar = IC (0–100)
Among the 2022–23 field
20th percentile · #285 of 364 · -0.4σ vs the season mean
All-time, since 1997
19thpercentile
#7,714 of 9,553
Signals on file
17
Iso possessions
2.0%
Iso share
0.88
Iso PPP
8.1%
Fadeaway rate
8.3%
Pull-up rate
28
Clutch attempts
13.1
Points / game
17.1%
Usage
59.3%
True shooting